There is consensus about likely cyclogenesis in this area from 15th May onward, however, the diversity among the most numerical models still remains about the location, track, and severity of the system. Residents Of Madagascar Need To Prepare For Heavy Rainfall And Flooding Want To Share!! However, there is no consensus amongst the weather model over the timelines, area, and level of intensification. Squally wind speed reaching to up to 65 kmph are likely over the Andaman Sea. The system continues to be in favorable environment and is likely to burgeon to a significant cyclone in the next few hours, earlier than expected. The complete region, therefore, remains under observations over the next 4-5 days for any further development. According to senior meteorologists at Skymet, cyclonic circulation over the southeast Bay of Bengal, Low pressure area over the South Andaman Sea, low pressure area over the Southeast Bay of Bengal, low-pressure area persists in the Southeast Bay of Bengal. Updated on May 16, 2020 11:30 AM IST: Depression in Bay of Bengal intensified to Deep Depression. According to the National Disaster Response Force (NDRF), thirty seven NDRF teams have been deployed in seven districts of Odisha and six districts of West Bengal in view of cyclone Amphan. The broader agreement for its extended stay over open waters, sluggish movement, slow and incremental intensification is making the prediction of landfall place and time difficult. The probability of this system turning in to cyclone Amphan remains good but the track and stay over the oceanic water is inconclusive. Click for most recent natural disasters in United States Subscribe to RSS headline updates from: Powered by FeedBurner, Map of Major Natural Disasters 2020 Above is the major natural disasters occurred in 2020 so far. Landfall In Madagascar on February 13. Sea Surface Temperature (SST) of about 31 degrees carries sufficient heat potential. However, the region remains favorable for significant development thereafter. However, there is no existential threat and the conditions look good towards formation of a low pressure area in the next 72 hours. Low pressure area over the South Andaman Sea and the Southeast Bay of Bengal persists. ITCZ is marked from Sumatra to Maldives across equatorial Indian Ocean. The maiden cyclone, cyclone Amphan, of this season is centered around 10.5N and 86.4E, about 650km ESE (East South East) of Chennai. Bangladesh on Monday issued the danger alert over cyclone "Amphan" that is heading towards the coastlines of the country.A special bulletin of Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) on Monday at 3:00 p.m. local time said the the cyclone was now staying at 985 km south-southwest of Bangladesh's Mongla port in southern Khulna region and about 1,075 km south-southwest of Chattogram seaport in southeastern Bangladesh. The information in the map (google map) is manually entered by Recent Natural Disasters . ", He added that an "unimaginable" strain would be put on relationships and families in the camp "and there is a real risk that gender-based violence will increase as the cyclone takes hold.”. Sea Surface Temperature continues to be adequately warm. This is a public forum.Below views may be monitored for inappropriate content. A fresh vortex as a cyclonic circulation is likely to form over the southwest Bay of Bengal in the next 48 hours. The depression in the Bay of Bengal has intensified to a deep depression, centered around 10.5N and 86.8E. The system will move northwest and reach abeam Chennai, keeping a safe distance of about 600km by this evening, as a developed cyclonic storm. The meteorological conditions in the southeast Bay of Bengal are furthering significant development within the next few days. It has moved slowly northwest in the past 12 hours and is centered about 1250 km SSW (southsouthwest) of Kolkata and 950km south of Paradip. The turbulent conditions over the region are making the data assimilation for weather models difficult. This list contains all major natural disasters in the United States in 2020 with detail report. It is likely to make landfall on the 20th May morning, close to West Bengal - Bangladesh border. Most of the weather models also are not suggesting any further strengthening in the next 3-4 days. Update 5:30 pm IST Super cyclone Amphan is currently located over northwest bay of Bengal, close to Bagar Island. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Amphan has rapidly intensified into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm and is centered over central and adjoining South Bay of Bengal, around 13Nand 86E. The center of the cyclone is currently 80 km south of Kolkata, West Bengal's capital, which has observed wind speeds up to 105 kph already. The system is turning and twisting over the same region in the last 24 hours. Our live coverage of Cyclone Amphan has moved here. The cloud configuration and the wind field is indicating likely formation of a low-pressure area over the Andaman Sea and the southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 24-36 hours. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, Amphan is over the central Bay of Bengal and is centered around 13N and 86.2E, about 800km south of Paradip and 950km SSW of Digha. "Life could not be more precarious for the nearly half a million women and girls who are already trapped in their homes as well as the children who make up over half of the camp’s residents," Agrawal said.
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